GC
GENTEX CORP (GNTX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 consolidated revenue was $655.2M (+7.7% YoY), with core Gentex revenue down 6% YoY; consolidated gross margin expanded 90 bps YoY to 34.4%, and diluted EPS was $0.46 . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue of $655.2M missed $669.4M* and EPS of $0.46 missed $0.472*, while EBITDA beat consensus ($148.8M* vs $144.0M*) .
- Regional/mix headwinds: Europe revenue declined ~14% QoQ on lower-trim mix and customer-specific issues; China revenue was ~$34M (–35% YoY) due to tariffs/counter-tariffs; North American OEM revenue rose ~5% QoQ on stronger content per vehicle .
- FY25 guide raised at the low end: consolidated revenue $2.50–$2.60B (from $2.44–$2.61B), gross margin 33.5%–34.0% (from 33%–34%), and tax rate narrowed to 16%–16.5%; OpEx (ex-severance) $380–$390M; capex $115–$125M .
- Call tone: Management emphasized continued gross margin improvement despite ~90 bps tariff drag and expects tariff recoveries with a lag; FDM unit growth raised to +200k–300k in 2025 vs 2024; VOXX already EPS-accretive with >$10M annualized savings to date and a ~$40M annual FCF target within ~18 months .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Gross margin improvement continued: consolidated GM 34.4% (+90 bps YoY) and core GM 34.9% (+140 bps YoY) driven by NA customer/product mix, purchasing cost reductions, and operational efficiencies .
- North America resilience and content growth: North American OEM revenue grew ~5% sequentially, supported by robust schedules and rising content per vehicle .
- VOXX contribution and early synergy traction: VOXX contributed $84.9M revenue and was accretive to EPS in Q3; management cited >$10M annualized savings achieved and reaffirmed a ~$40M annual FCF target in ~18 months .
- What Went Wrong
- Europe/China pressure: Europe revenue fell ~14% QoQ on lower-trim mix and customer issues; China revenue ~$34M (–35% YoY) due to tariffs/counter-tariffs .
- Core revenue contraction: Core Gentex revenue fell 6% YoY despite primary market LVP up ~2% YoY; consolidated other income swung to a $(1.8)M loss vs +$19.7M last year on absence of a prior-period VOXX revaluation gain .
- Tariff drag on margins: Incremental tariff headwinds reduced margins by ~90 bps in Q3; reimbursement is lagged into Q4 per management .
Financial Results
Notes: Q3 2024 comparative columns are presented as reported within the Q3 2025 8‑K/press release exhibits .
Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus and Forward Look
Values with asterisks are retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Revenue
Key KPIs (Units, thousands)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the Gentex core gross margin improved by 140 basis points, driven by favorable North American customer and product mix, purchasing cost reductions, and continuing operational efficiencies… [tariffs] negatively impacted margins by approximately 90 basis points” (Steve Downing) .
- “We… recovered probably 70% to 80% of the tariff costs of Q2 in Q3… We would expect to get most of that reimbursed in Q4. There’s definitely a lag effect” (Steve Downing) .
- “Q3 was really good growth in FDM again… we see us exceeding 2024 numbers by 200,000 to 300,000 units” (Neil Boehm) .
- “VOXX… is positive on the net income side and accretive on the EPS side… we’re over $10 million of annualized savings… We believe… ~$40 million… in free cash flow… in about 18 months post-acquisition” (Steve Downing; IR) .
Q&A Highlights
- Europe headwinds: ~$5–$6M temporary revenue hit from a European OEM shutdown, with the bulk from lower-trim mix; decontenting at select OEMs added pressure; mgmt expects Q3 severity to moderate in Q4 .
- Tariff recovery cadence: ~70–80% of Q2 tariffs recovered in Q3; the step-up in Q3 tariffs expected to be largely reimbursed in Q4, but timing lags persist .
- Gross margin seasonality: Q4 GM step-down driven by seasonal revenue and higher VOXX mix; on equal revenue, Q4 margin would look “very, very similar” to Q3 (no structural issues) .
- FDM trajectory: Raised 2025 unit growth to +200k–300k vs 2024; despite EV launch delays, ICE/hybrids continue to adopt FDM .
- VOXX synergy roadmap: EPS-accretive already; >$10M annualized savings realized; targeting ~$40M annual FCF within ~18 months; early cost reductions include audit/insurance and exec overlaps .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 revenue $655.2M missed S&P Global consensus $669.4M* (
–2.1%); EPS $0.46 missed $0.472* (–2.1%); EBITDA $148.8M* beat $144.0M* (mix and cost actions supported margins) . - Q4 2025 consensus: revenue $650.9M*, EPS $0.419*, EBITDA $129.3M*; management expects Q4 margin seasonality (lower revenue, higher VOXX mix), with tariff reimbursements helping offset lagged costs .
- Implications: Street models may trim top-line for continued Europe/China headwinds, while gross margin and EBITDA could hold better on mix/costs and tariff recoveries; FY25 guidance raises at the low end should anchor estimates within updated ranges .
Values with asterisks are retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin execution offsetting revenue volatility: Consolidated GM reached 34.4% (+90 bps YoY) despite ~90 bps tariff drag, reflecting mix and cost discipline; mgmt aims to sustain high‑34% GM into 2026 if tariffs stabilize .
- Core revenue under pressure ex‑VOXX: Core Gentex revenue –6% YoY as Europe mix shifted down and China tariffs weighed; VOXX’s accretion and synergies are cushioning EPS .
- Guidance bias improving: FY25 revenue and GM ranges nudged higher at the low end, and China/VOXX sub-guidance tightened upward, signaling better visibility into H2 dynamics .
- Near-term watch items: Q4 seasonality and VOXX weighting on GM, pace of tariff reimbursements, Europe mix normalization, and any OEM decontenting spillover to NA/Asia .
- Medium-term growth vectors: FDM expansion (+200k–300k units in 2025), DMS/in-cabin launches through mid‑2026, and dimmable roof/visor manufacturing ramp targeted for early 2026 .
- Capital returns: 1.0M shares repurchased in Q3 ($28.3M); YTD 9.8M shares ($230.5M) with additional authorization capacity remaining; dividend maintained at $0.12/share .
- Trade setup: Stock narrative likely driven by revenue/mix normalization vs. continued margin resilience; any signals of faster tariff recovery or VOXX synergy capture could be upside catalysts, while deeper European decontenting/China demand deterioration are key risks .